Home The Sell Sider Header Bidding Increases Yield Through Algorithm Arbitrage

Header Bidding Increases Yield Through Algorithm Arbitrage

SHARE:

The Sell Sider” is a column written for the sell side of the digital media community.

Today’s column is written by Eric Berry, CEO at TripleLift.

Header bidding increases yield. This dogma is unquestioned and largely unassailable as the revenue increases are quantitative and provable.

But despite the tangible gains, questions linger about why, beyond the superficial reason of increased competition, prices are increasing and whether it is sustainable at the current level for the long term.

An impression should clear for the second-highest price submitted in an auction. Between major supply-side platforms (SSPs), there is not much unique demand.

For generic supply, such as banner inventory, the main demand-side platforms (DSPs) – including DoubleClick Bid Manager, The Trade Desk, Tube Mogul and Criteo – and leading non-DSP platforms like the Google Display Network account for the lion’s share of all demand, and will do so regardless of which SSP is used. Ensuring that all DSPs can compete against Google’s AdX on fair terms means that at least one SSP needs to bid into Google’s DoubleClick for Publishers.

This begs the question: Why would multiple SSPs bidding against each other through a header materially increase yield if there isn’t much unique demand in an SSP?

The answer is that that DSPs do not have a “true” value of an impression. The value is dependent on the SSP source of the impression, which campaigns have recently served, and random numbers. This means an identical impression from three different SSPs could yield three different bids, for three different campaigns or even the same campaign.

DSPs spent years honing their algorithms to purchase inventory in a particular way. Header bidding is effectively arbitraging components of each DSP’s algorithm to find the maximum amount that would be bid for the same impression over a few slightly different representations.

A possible solution to the arbitrage could be the OpenRTB 2.5 standard, which introduced the concept of upstream transaction IDs. This means a header bidding impression could have a normalized impression across all the different sources. While the source transaction ID is not currently mandatory, DSPs can increasingly bias their spend toward sources that do provide it – and away from those that do not – to spur its adoption.

This data allows a DSP to choose a single source for its bids for a given impression – either biasing in favor of win rate or clearing price. While it may be complicated to develop overnight, it is relatively straightforward to implement such a system. It would equally reduce a DSP’s costs by allowing it to ignore duplicative header requests.

There are certainly several benefits to header bidding beyond algorithm arbitrage, including pushing SSPs for fee transparency and reduction and moving the ecosystem to a first-price auction. For these reasons, as well as ensuring fair competition in DFP, there will always be a place for header bidding.

But as DSPs learn to manage their algorithms and optimize appropriately, and as the data becomes available that helps them normalize inventory, the relative upside from incremental sources of header bidding demand will materially decline in the foreseeable future.

Follow Eric Berry (@ezberry), TripleLift (@triplelifthq) and AdExchanger (@adexchanger) on Twitter.

Tagged in:

Must Read

Ad Performance Hinges On Kicking Fragmentation's Butt

As performance takes center-stage in more advertising discussions, demands to solve fragmentation and cruddy measurement are reaching a fever pitch.

AdExchanger's Big Story podcast with journalistic insights on advertising, marketing and ad tech

AI Off The Rails

A word of caution to digital advertising companies, as they go all in on AI algorithms: They need to build these solutions with ownership, governance and accountability from the start – or AI could sink them with a single mistake.

square Headshot of Mohammad (Moe) Chughtai, global VP of strategy & partnerships at MiQ, against an orange and yellow gradient background

Better Attribution Makes Live Sports A Performance Play

To squeeze the most juice out of their live sports campaigns, many marketers are adopting programmatic buying and marketing mix modeling, both of which are also drawing more advertisers to the digital live sports cornucopia.

Privacy! Commerce! Connected TV! Read all about it. Subscribe to AdExchanger Newsletters

Roblox Opens Up Advertising To Kids Under 13

Roblox is making its under-13 audience available to advertisers for the first time. And it named youth-focused ad marketplace SuperAwesome as its exclusive advertising partner for under-13 users.

Comic: Header Bidding Rapper (Wrapper!)

Outgoing Prebid President Mike Racic On His Departure And The Org’s Next Act

Prebid is turning the page on what might be called its second chapter as the organization navigates some major changes in the digital advertising landscape and within its own ranks.

Meta is giving advertisers the ability to connect their third-party analytics tools directly to its ad platform via API.

How Apparel Brand Tuckernuck Devised The 'Why' Behind Its CTV Ad Performance

Performance CTV tech company Keynes launched an AI-powered platform. Tuckernuck says it can finally “pop open the hood” and see what’s working.