Home On TV & Video All Attribution Is Wrong, But Do It Anyway

All Attribution Is Wrong, But Do It Anyway

SHARE:

On TV And Video” is a column exploring opportunities and challenges in advanced TV and video.

Today’s column is written by Matt Hultgren, vice president of analytics at Marketing Architects.

Complicated, expensive, unreliable and frustrating.

I have heard CMOs and marketing executives use these adjectives – and a few other unprintable ones – to describe their experiences with multichannel attribution.

To most, it’s a time-consuming exercise that’s filled with shaky data and unexplainable math, conducted using black-box methods that rival the CIA’s code of secrecy. Mere mortals have little chance of understanding its details.

My honest answer, when I hear these stories?

All attribution is wrong, but marketers need to do it anyway.

The ‘silver bullet’ does not exist

This may sound counterintuitive. Why pour time, effort and budget into a flawed application?

The answer gets to the central issue of attribution: the data model. All models have flaws, from missing data to incorrect assumptions. There is no silver bullet or single, perfect tool to measure each and every influence, action or result that a broadcast ad generates. Period.

Once marketing executives accept this fact, it’s possible to move forward with multichannel measurement programs that actually work. It’s possible to make decisions based on analytics where marketers are highly confident.

Subscribe

AdExchanger Daily

Get our editors’ roundup delivered to your inbox every weekday.

To increase confidence, reset expectations

First, marketers must be be clear about what their multichannel attribution model can and can’t deliver. Who doesn’t want to link every customer interaction – online and offline – to a quantifiable sale? It’s the holy grail of marketing measurement. But a 360-degree view requires immense discipline across the enterprise to capture information completely and govern data for accuracy; most organizations are years away from this goal.

What a multichannel attribution model can deliver are actionable insights to help marketers hone their media budget, message, offer and brand strategy. With broadcast advertising, for example, marketers can expect their attribution model to show them:

  • Which dayparts generate the strongest response
  • Which stations and markets are most effective
  • Which creative packs the biggest punch

Second, marketers must know what is and isn’t measurable. Television and other top-of-the-funnel activities create positive influences that optimize a brand in the minutes immediately following an ad, as well as in the days and weeks that follow. Tracking immediate actions, such as Google searches, phone calls and web orders, is relatively straightforward. Measuring improved brand awareness, consumer preference and word of mouth is harder.

Use multiple models to boost the trust factor

Lastly, marketers must tune up their data model. Whether they create their own or work with an agency or attribution partners, they must ensure the model has flexibility to accommodate the unique data points of their company, product and campaign. In other words, avoid one-size-fits-all models that take a cookie-cutter approach.

Whenever possible, marketers should run at least two attribution models side by side. In this way, they can inject more confidence into the analytics and insights that they receive. For example, when running an internal attribution test, it may be helpful to have an outside attribution firm simultaneously model the same data. When both models reveal similar results – using two slightly different methodologies – marketers would know they’re heading in the right direction.

Your attribution is wrong. But please, do it anyway.

Follow Marketing Architects (@markarch) and AdExchanger (@adexchanger) on Twitter.

Must Read

Google Rolls Out Chatbot Agents For Marketers

Google on Wednesday announced the full availability of its new agentic AI tools, called Ads Advisor and Analytics Advisor.

Amazon Ads Is All In On Simplicity

“We just constantly hear how complex it is right now,” Kelly MacLean, Amazon Ads VP of engineering, science and product, tells AdExchanger. “So that’s really where we we’ve anchored a lot on hearing their feedback, [and] figuring out how we can drive even more simplicity.”

Betrayal, business, deal, greeting, competition concept. Lie deception and corporate dishonesty illustration. Businessmen leaders entrepreneurs making agreement holding concealing knives behind backs.

How PubMatic Countered A Big DSP’s Spending Dip In Q3 (And Our Theory On Who It Was)

In July, PubMatic saw a temporary drop in ad spend from a “large” unnamed DSP partner, which contributed to Q3 revenue of $68 million, a 5% YOY decline.

Privacy! Commerce! Connected TV! Read all about it. Subscribe to AdExchanger Newsletters

Paramount Skydance Merged Its Business – Now It’s Ready To Merge Its Tech Stack

Paramount Skydance, which officially turns 100 days old this week, released its first post-merger quarterly earnings report on Monday.

Hand Wipes Glasses illustration

EssilorLuxottica Leans Into AI To Avoid Ad Waste

AI is bringing accountability to ad tech’s murky middle, helping brands like EssilorLuxottica cut out bots, bad bids and wasted spend before a single impression runs.

The Arena Group's Stephanie Mazzamaro (left) chats with ad tech consultant Addy Atienza at AdMonsters' Sell Side Summit Austin.

For Publishers, AI Gives Monetizable Data Insight But Takes Away Traffic

Traffic-starved publishers are hopeful that their long-undervalued audience data will fuel advertising’s automated future – if only they can finally wrest control of the industry narrative away from ad tech middlemen.