Home On TV & Video When The Dust Settles In TV

When The Dust Settles In TV

SHARE:

On TV And Video” is a column exploring opportunities and challenges in advanced TV and video.

Today’s column is written by Randy Cooke, vice president of programmatic TV at SpotX.

In media, our past is dominated by the ongoing discussions of our future. From the moment the first TiVo shipped around the turn of the millennium, the TV industry has always been on the verge of some something that promised to change TV, usually within a five-year window.

Over time, this five-year trap pulled the industry into a reactionary form of self-governance, an adhocracy of incrementalism with solutions that just manage to get everybody through the next agency planning cycle. Just look at the waves of obsession to hit the industry since that moment when TiVo changed TV: commercial minute ratings, Live-only, advanced TV, interactive TV, addressable TV, over-the-top and even refrigerators.

No matter how the industry chose to address its most immediate concerns, the long-term sustainability of policy was never given much consideration. It was just assumed that it would all be different in five years. Remember that time in 2006 when Nielsen predicted the diary would be gone by 2011?

There has been no shortage of intense moments in TV over the last couple decades, but for many in this business, “now” feels different. Maybe five years ago, we were actually right, and the present is the five-year future of our past.

It wouldn’t be hyperbole to suggest a sense of anxiety seems to be spreading rapidly across the modern media field, largely the product of an industry obsessing over the wrong things. We view technology with a jaundiced eye in media because this is a people business.

But TV as an industry does not end at the doorstep of ad tech. From programmatic infrastructure to modern ad-serving capabilities, ad tech is giving media and audience owners the power to develop ad markets, limited in scale only by one’s imagination.

Consider the virtues of a brand having the ability to define and buy TV to engage its audience in the ways it wants. This could be embraced as a sustainable business of portfolio packaging to meet customers’ most detailed tactical objectives. That is powerful, enterprising leverage in this multibillion-dollar video marketplace, and it’s hard to do at scale without an abyss-like view on market intelligence.

With billions of daily ad opportunities in live, linear and on-demand TV content available today across skinny bundles, TV Everywhere, OTT platforms, direct-to-consumer apps and multimedia devices, audience is everywhere.

Convergence, as it turns out, appears to be the point at which every medium, device, publisher, content and audience owner vies for a slice of the same pie, even if currencies, standards and expectations are not universal. Everything and anything can be a KPI.

Subscribe

AdExchanger Daily

Get our editors’ roundup delivered to your inbox every weekday.

Herein lies the efficiency of programmatic infrastructure, monetizing high-volume ad channels where the intersection of content and consumer at a device level is instantly discoverable. TV crossing the figurative threshold into programmatic should be understood simply as table stakes, pardon the mixed metaphor.

Indeed the dust of confusion and white-knuckling anxiety will probably subside after next year’s Upfronts. We’ll likely re-categorize today’s TV markets into gardens that put us at ease with what this medium has come to be. Much like how we’ve historically segmented TV markets across upfronts, scatter, syndication, spot and zone cable – the “swimlanes” of $70 billion in TV ad spend this year – we’ll find sustainability and balance.

We like swimlanes in TV. In the interest of protecting a culture of restrictive partnerships and general aversion to substantive industrial collaboration, we’ve scribed our swimlanes in ink.

But our swimlanes are no longer running in parallel, which says a lot about the state of the TV industry, not the least of which is the obvious need to find a better metaphor.

TV is no longer a homogenous business. It must be thought of in multiple dimensions, starting with the core ad channels that will individually and complementarily sustain the TV ad business into perpetuity: content and audience.

Are you buying a program based on some audience index, or are you buying an audience attribute, contextualized by content? The answer to that question is not inconsequential.

The ability to efficiently execute in either or both the audience and content markets will be the secret sauce of TV’s winners. Those who understand the value of their content and audience assets at an enterprise level will be the ones for whom the dust settles first.

All due credit to those who predicted – five years ago – that we’d be at this juncture.

Follow SpotX (@SpotX) and AdExchanger (@adexchanger) on Twitter.

Must Read

Monopoly Man looks on at the DOJ vs. Google ad tech antitrust trial (comic).

2025: The Year Google Lost In Court And Won Anyway

From afar, it looks like Google had a rough year in antitrust court. But zoom in a bit and it becomes clear that the past year went about as well as Google could have hoped for.

Why 2025 Marked The End Of The Data Clean Room Era

A few years ago, “data clean rooms” were all the ad tech trades could talk about. Fast-forward to 2026, and maybe advertisers don’t need to know what a data clean room is after all.

The AI Search Reckoning Is Dismantling Open Web Traffic – And Publishers May Never Recover

Publishers have been losing 20%, 30% and in some cases even as much as 90% of their traffic and revenue over the past year due to the rise of zero-click AI search.

Privacy! Commerce! Connected TV! Read all about it. Subscribe to AdExchanger Newsletters

No Waiting for May – CES Is Where The TV Upfront Season Starts 

If any single event can be considered the jumping-off point for TV upfronts, it’s the Consumer Electronics Showcase (CES), which kicks off this week in Las Vegas, Nevada.

Comic: This Is Our Year

Comic: This Is Our Year

It’s been 15 years since this comic first ran in January 2011, and there’s something both quaint and timeless about it. Here’s to more (and more) transparency in 2026, and happy New Year!

From AI To SPO: The Top 10 AdExchanger Guest Columns Of 2025

The generative AI trend generated endless hot takes this year, but the ad industry also had plenty to say about growing competition between DSPs and SSPs. Here are AdExchanger’s top 10 most popular guest columns of 2025 and why they resonated.